Friday, November 10, 2006

Teasers, Parlays and NFL locks for 11/12

Alright, we all gamble. That's why we all love the NFL. Of course no wins, but everyone likes to give their picks, pretend they know more than anyone else and think you'll listen to them. One question, why has no one figured out how to gamble and win consistently making mad jack? Probably pretty easy to answer, too many variables.(weather, injuries, local mood of the city, momentum, refs accepting bribes, etc..)

One thing I have noticed, is 3 team 6 point teaser parlays. This is the rare time I seem to win more than I lose. Pick 3 teams against the spread, then give them an extra 6 points. 3 is the ideal number, because you don't have to pick games that can go either way, and if you have less than 3 then the pay out isn't really worth it. You bet $10 on a 3 team 6 point teaser it pays $18.(according to my outlet)

So from here on out, I'll be giving my teasers and we'll keep track of my record and hopefully we all win money.


Weekly Over/Under
Chargers @ Bengals Under 54
Chargers are giving up less than 20 points a game and Bengals are giving up 21. The game is at Cinci so the game should stay limit the Bolts offense a bit.

Cowboys @ Cardinals Over 37
It is Pat Tillman day at their stadium. The crowd/ fans will be into it. How come more people don't factor in these things.

Rams @ Seahawks Under 50.5
usually a shoot out, but weather.com says it will be rainy and 48. Not conducive to big points, and the 'hawks D is solid.

6 point three team teasers of the Week
(these can be put in any order parlay)
Parlay 1

Team Formally known as San Francisco @ Lions Lions EVEN
Detroit is under rated and the 49ers suck esp. On the road.

Packers @ Vikings Packers +11.5
The Vikings looked sick last week. They can't score. This is a rivalry and Favre will be looking to redeem him self from last weeks embarrassment.

Redskins @ Eagles Eagles -1
In Philly, Donovan won't lose a division game to the lowly 'skins.


Parlay 2
Broncos @ Raiders Denver -3
It is the Raiders, their coach is Art Shell. The Broncos will win this game by more than a field goal, easy.

Cowboys @ Cardinals Cards +13
Tillman day and the Cowboys are over rated.

Saints @ Steelers Saints +10.5
Big game for the Aints. Are they that good, are the Steelers than bad? Pittsburgh hasn't lost back to back in like 3 seasons but 2 touchdowns is a lot to win by.

Parlay 3

Chiefs @ Dolphins Chiefs +7

At worst a push, but this is Huard's home coming and the 'phins can't win back to back games.

Ravens @ Titans Ravens -1
Tennessee is bad, the Ravens defense scares the shit out of me, mostly cause they have murders and thugs, but they're good too.

Texans @ Jaguars Jax -4
Jacksonville had a huge win last week vs. the Titans and I'm thinking this will be take 2. Side note, Jacksonville has had an easy schedule in a two team division.

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